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On the other hand, almost all hosts monitored in Africa (apart from 3 in the Republic of South Africa), and South America (apart from some in Brazil and Argentina) are on public networks and thus more likely to be impacted by changes in traffic patterns caused by Covid-19 interventions.
The types of interventions that we may expect to make noticeable changes in Internet traffic patterns, and possible changes in ping jitter due to changes in path utilizations, include:
- Lockdowns
- Closing of schools, colleges, sporting events, public meetings,
- It is probable that the increases in cases and deaths that are publicized will result in changed behaviors and people voluntarily sheltering in place working from home etc.
The typical impacts are:
- A sustained (for a week or more) significant increase or decrease in IPDV values for some or all hosts in the country correlated with an intervention that may be expected to change traffic patterns.
- A change in the difference in the weekday vs the weekend performance (bear in mind all times are UTC) correlated with an intervention.
- An increase or decrease in the variability day to day of the IPDV
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