Method
We divide up the states according to the October 8th, 2020 NPR report https://www.npr.org/2020/10/09/921596963/npr-electoral-map-biden-lead-widens-again-with-less-than-a-month-to-go.
We then use the JHU data to get the daily confirmed cases for each state
Solid Biden | Leaning Biden | Toss up |
---|---|---|
HI,WA,OR,CA,NM,IL,NY,VA,VT,MA, CT,RI,NJ,DE,MD,DC | NV,AZ,MN,WI,PA,NM | IA,OH,NC,GA,FL |
ID,UT,MT,WY,ND,SD,KS,OK,OR,LA, IN,KY,TN,MS,AL,WV,SC | AK,TX,MO | |
Solid Trump | Leaning Trump |