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General Election rallies (June 2020–present) 

Date of rally

CityCounty

County population

(attendees)

StateVenuePossible impact of rally on daily Confirmed cases in adjacent countiesObservations
Saturday, June 20, 2020TulsaTulsa County(6200)OKBOK Center


Tuesday, June 23, 2020[109]PhoenixMaricopa County
AZDreamJoe City Foss Church Hangar




Monday, August 17, 2020[110]MankatoBlue Earth County64,013MNMankato Regional Airport

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Details in Excel file

Blue Earth sees a rise in cases 10 days after the rally. Brown sees a rise in cases 26 days after the rally. Faribault sees a rise in cases around 12-14 days
after the rally. Le Sueur sees a rise in cases 3-4 days after the rally
that rises to a peak after 11-12 days after the rally and then falls. We assume this not likely to be
associated with the rally. Martin sees a rise in cases 12 days after the rally
with a peak at 17 days, followed by a dip and then
a larger rise in cases.Nicollet sees no apparent rise in cases.Waseca cases are on a rising slope when the
rally occurs, this plateaus after 4 days
until day 17 when it again risesWatonwan is very variable so no conclusions are made


Monday, August 17, 2020[111]OshkoshWinnebago County171907
(several hundred)		WIOshkosh airway

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Fond Du Lac, Outagamie and Winnebago's daily confirmed cases roughly doubled  12 days after the rally, and continued to rise.
Tuesday, August 18, 2020[112]YumaYuma County195795AZJoe Foss Hangar

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Thursday, August 20, 2020[113]Old Forge

Lackawanna County

209674PAMariotti Building Products

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Friday, August 28, 2020[114]LondonderryRockingham County

309769

(1400)

NHPro Star Aviation

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Thursday, September 3, 2020[115]LatrobeWestmoreland County348899PAArnold Palmer Regional Airport

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 No apparent increase
Tuesday, September 8, 2020[116]Winston-SalemForsyth County

382295

(several thousand)

NCSmith Reynolds Airport

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Thursday, September 10, 2020[117]FreelandSaginaw County190539MIAvflight Saginaw

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Saturday, September 12, 2020[118]

Minden

Indoors

Douglas County

48905

(thousands)

NVMinden-Tahoe Airport

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There is a rise in cases in 4 of the 5 counties starting a few days after the rally.


Sunday, September 13, 2020[119]HendersonClark County

2.28 million

(5600)

NVXtreme Manufacturing

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Clark, Mohave, and Nye counties all see a rise in confirmed cases starting between the 17th and 20th of September.


Friday, September 18, 2020[120]BemidjiBeltrami County47188MNBemidji Aviation Services

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Friday, September 18, 2020[121]MosineeMarathon County135692WICentral Wisconsin Aviation

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Method

We are interested in whether some of these events may have served as 'super-spreader' events. 

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