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We just look at the number of daily confirmed cases for the county in which the event was held. Thus we do not include cases from surrounding counties etc.

2020 9/12/20Image Removed
August August 9/17/20

Observations:

  • The smoothed daily confirmed cases indicated marked increases in the cases as follows

    CountyStatedate of eventdate of noticeable increase in casesmagnitude of increasedelaypeak
    Blue Earth Minnesota8/17/20208/27/20203x increase in cases/day10 days9/03/2020
    Lackawanna Pennsylvania8/20/20208/29/20203x increase in cases/day9 days9/04/2020
    RockinghamNew Hampshire 8/28/20209/10/20202x increase in cases/day13 daysNot yet
    Winnebago Wisconsin8/17/20208/28/20202.5x increase in cases/day11 daysNot yet
    Westmoreland Pennsylvania9/3/20209/12/2020    

    The sharp rise in Winnebago from about 10 confirmed cases/day to following the  Trump rally to over 60 new cases reported on 8/17/2020 is a concern. 

     

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