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Map of counties and a map of regions see https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_regions_of_Californiaa

California Counties

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Covid-

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19  San Francisco Bay Area confirmed cases and deaths

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Covid-19 San Francisco Bay Area
Covid-19 San Francisco Bay Area

California Covid-19 for coastal counties from San Mateo southwards

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Covid-19 California coastal counties from San Mateo southwards
Covid-19 California coastal counties from San Mateo southwards

California Sierra-Nevada counties

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Covid-19 California Sierra Nevada counties
Covid-19 California Sierra Nevada counties

California June 2020


bubbles sized by population density for CA Counties and colored by per capita income
 (Jan 25, 2020 - Apr 30, 2020)

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    • Imperial county with a population of 177K had 8606 cases and 163 deaths, this compares with El Dorado county with a population of 181K that had 443 cases and 0 deaths. One big difference is the % Hispanic population: 79.6% for Imperial county and 11.8% for El Dorado county.
      The following chart shows the daily confirmed cases per thousand population for a selection of California counties. The predominance of the Imperial (79.6% Hispanic) View filenamecovid19-california-confirmed-time-series.svgheight250and Kern (54% Hispanic) counties is apparent.
      Image Modified  Image Added
    • The following were the leading counties in terms of deaths/population

      CountyIDConfirmedDeathsPopulationDeaths/population% Hispanic population
      RiversideRIV2998358822668990.00025945%
      KIngsKIN3398421513900.00027750.2%
      TulareTUL68961674511080.00037059.8%
      Los AngelesLA159045410499742030.00041147.5%
      ImperialIMP86061631770260.00092179.6%

      It is seen that these leading counties also had large Hispanic populations. Graphs of the ratios confirmed cases/population and deaths/population against the percent of Hispanic population in each California county are shown below, There are seen to be noticeable correlations (R2). The probability of a confirmed case is seen to be two to three times for counties with twice the percentage of Hispanic populations.

    • Given the "High Mortality from COVID-19 among Asian Americans in San Francisco and California" reported in https://asianarch.org/press_releases/Asian%20COVID-19%20Mortality%20Final.pdf, one would expect to find a strong correlation of deaths/population vs % Asian-American population for California counties. The labels on the charts below are the abbreviations for some of the counties (from https://sv08data.dot.ca.gov/contractcost/map.html). 

    • The following were the leading counties in terms of deaths/confirmed cases:

      CountyIDDeaths/confirmed %Population% Hispanic population
      InyoINY2.51843918.7%
      San MateoSM2.573983724.9%
      Los AngelesLA2.58997420347.5%
      MariposaMPA2.63179469.4%
      YoloYOL2.8420416229.8%
      ShastaSHA2.891785208.3%
    • Top ten California Counties by confirmed cases 7/26/2020

      CountyIDPopulation()confirmed/Popdeaths/PopPop-Density(pop/sq-km)Hispanic%
      ImperialIMP1770260.0512180.00102242.38579.6
      KingsKIN1513900.0251870.00031108.95950.2
      TulareTUL4511080.01820.00037293.50959.8
      MarinMRN2568020.0180060.000214493.55614.9
      Los AngelesLA99742030.0174470.0004372457.98447.5
      KernKER8577300.0170810.000143105.47748.5
      LassenLAS333560.01663907.34517.4
      StanislausSTA5227940.0150370.000166349.73541.3
      RiversideRIV22668990.0147630.000281314.56445
      San JoaquinSJ7010500.0144440.000157503.87438.3

      Ten California counties with the least confirmed cases/population 7/26/2020

      CountyIDPopulation()confirmed/Popdeaths/PopPop-Density(pop/sq-km)Hispanic%
      TrinityTRI135150.00022204.2516.7
      SierraSIE30190.00033103.1677.5
      SiskiyouSIS442610.00137807.0510.2
      PlumasPLU192860.00145207.5548
      HumboldtHUM1348760.001520.0000337.8029.6
      ShastaSHA1785200.001630.00004547.2858.3
      AlpineALP12020.00166401.6287
      AmadorAMA371590.002045062.49612.2
      InyoINY184390.0021690.0000541.81118.7
      CalaverasCAL449210.0022040.00002244.0410.2
    • California Confirmed cases / day and deaths / day:

        



      The ratio of deaths/confirmed was about 2.5% mid April but had dropped to about 1.4% as of 7/26/2020. This may be related to the introduction of more effective treatments for the coronavirus over the past five months and the fact that hospitals are better prepared to handle patients (see https://www.sfchronicle.com/health/article/Why-coronavirus-cases-are-rising-but-deaths-are-15384724.php).

    • California (e.g. see https://www.cdph.ca.gov/Programs/CID/DCDC/Pages/COVID-19/CountyMonitoringDataStep1.aspx) uses a 14-day case rate to determine if it has exceeded some limit (100 per 100,000 population) for each county to determine what activities should be shut down for that county.

    • For California counties, the average number of days from the first recorded confirmed case to the first recorded death was 84+-39 days.

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