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Date of rally

CityCounty

County population

(attendees)

StateVenuePossible impact of rally on daily Confirmed cases in adjacent countiesObservations
Monday, August 17, 2020[110]MankatoBlue Earth County64,013MNMankato Regional Airport

Blue Earth sees a rise in cases 10 days after the rally. Brown sees a rise in cases 26 days after the rally. Faribault sees a rise in cases around 12-14 days after the rally. Le Sueur sees a rise in cases 3-4 days after the rally that rises to a peak after 11-12 days after the rally and then falls. We assume this not likely to be
associated with the rally. Martin sees a rise in cases 12 days after the rally with a peak at 17 days, followed by a dip and then a larger rise in cases. Nicollet sees no apparent rise in cases. Waseca cases are on a rising slope when the
rally occurs, this plateaus after 4 days until day 17 when it again rises. Watonwan is very variable so no conclusions are made

Monday, August 17, 2020[111]OshkoshWinnebago County171907
(several hundred)
WIOshkosh airwayFond Du Lac, Outagamie and Winnebago's daily confirmed cases roughly doubled  12 days after the rally, and continued to rise. Follwing the nd of the 14 day incubation period there is a pronounced rise in daily confirmed cases for all counties.
Tuesday, August 18, 2020[112]YumaYuma County195795AZJoe Foss HangarNo apparent impact.
Thursday, August 20, 2020[113]Old Forge

Lackawanna County

209674PAMariotti Building Products

There are significant rises in the number of cases in the 2-14 days after the event on 8/20/20.

  • In particular for Lackawana county 10 days after the rally.
  • There is a rise for Susquehanna county starting just before the rally.
  • Also, Wayne county sees a rise about 14 days after the rally.
  • On the other hand, Luzerne county sees a similar rise two weeks before the rally.
Friday, August 28, 2020[114]LondonderryRockingham County

309769

(1400)

NHPro Star Aviation

There is a rise in confirmed cases for all counties except Essex, 5-14 days following the rally. Essex starts to climb 22 days after the rally.

Thursday, September 3, 2020[115]LatrobeWestmoreland County348899PAArnold Palmer Regional Airport Steep rise of cases in Indiana county, no apparent increase in other counties.
Tuesday, September 8, 2020[116]Winston-SalemForsyth County

382295

(several thousand)

NCSmith Reynolds AirportThere is a steep rise in daily confirmed cases following the 14 day incubation period.
Thursday, September 10, 2020[117]FreelandSaginaw County190539MIAvflight SaginawThere is a slow rise in daily confirmed cases starting in the 14 day incubation period and continuing afterwards
Saturday, September 12, 2020[118]

Minden

Indoors

Douglas County

48905

(thousands)

NVMinden-Tahoe Airport

There is a rise in cases in 4 of the 5 counties starting a few days after the rally.

Sunday, September 13, 2020[119]HendersonClark County

2.28 million

(5600)

NVXtreme Manufacturing

Clark, Mohave, and Nye counties all see a rise in confirmed cases starting between the 17th and 20th of September.

Friday, September 18, 2020[120]BemidjiBeltrami County47188MNBemidji Aviation ServicesThere is a pronounced rise in the daily confirmed cases that starts in the incubation period and continues afterwards.
Friday, September 18, 2020[121]MosineeMarathon County135692WICentral Wisconsin AviationIn this case, the rise in cases starts before the rally.


Date of RallyCityCountyStateVenue
Saturday, September 19, 2020[123]FayettevilleCumberlandNCFayetteville Regional Airport
Monday, September 21, 2020[124]VandaliaMontgomeryOHDayton International Airport
SwantonFulton & LewisToledo Express Airport
Tuesday, September 22, 2020[125]PittsburghAlleghanyPAPittsburgh International AirportSean Parnell
Thursday, September 24, 2020[126]JacksonvilleDuvalFLCecil Airport
Friday, September 25, 2020[127]Newport NewsWarwickVANewport News/Williamsburg International AirportMike Pence
Saturday, September 26, 2020[128]MiddletownDauphinPAHarrisburg International Airport
Wednesday, September 30, 2020[129]DuluthSt LouisMNDuluth International Airport
Monday, October 12, 2020[130]SanfordSeminoleFLOrlando Sanford International AirportKimberly Guilfoyle, Ron DeSantis
Tuesday, October 13, 2020[131]JohnstownCambriaPAJohn Murtha Johnstown-Cambria County Airport
Wednesday, October 14, 2020[131]Des MoinesIowaIADes Moines International AirportKim Reynolds
Thursday, October 15, 2020[132]GreenvillePittNCPitt-Greenville Airport
Friday, October 16, 2020[133]OcalaMarionFLOcala International AirportRon DeSantis
MaconLeonGAMiddle Georgia Regional AirportDavid Perdue
Saturday, October 17, 2020[134]MuskegonMuskegonMIMuskegon County Airport
JanesvilleRockWISouthern Wisconsin Regional Airport
Sunday, October 18, 2020[135]Carson CityCarson CityNVCarson City Airport
Monday, October 19, 2020[136]PrescottYavapaiAZPrescott Regional AirportMartha McSally, Doug Ducey
TucsonTusconTucson International AirportDoug Ducey
Tuesday, October 20, 2020[137]ErieEriePAErie International Airport
Wednesday, October 21, 2020[138]GastoniaGastonNCGastonia Municipal Airport
Friday, October 23, 2020[139]The VillagesSumterFLThe Villages Polo Club
PensacolaEscambiaPensacola International Airport
Saturday, October 24, 2020LumbertonRobesonNCRobeson County Fairgrounds
CirclevillePickawayOHPickaway Agriculture and Event Center
WaukeshaWaukeshaWIWaukesha County Airport
Sunday, October 25, 2020ManchesterHillboroughNHManchester-Boston Regional Airport

The Excel files come from a library  of Excel workbooks illustrating the impact of COVID-19 on many different areas of the world.

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Marathon County WI 9/17/2020Yuma county AZ 8/18/2020Westmoreland PA 9/3/2020Forsyth NC 9/8/2020Saginaw MI 9/10/2020Beltrami County MN 9/18/2020


Cumberlan NC




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