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Date of rally | City | County | County population (attendees) | State | Venue | Possible impact of rally on daily Confirmed cases in adjacent counties | Observations | ||||||||||||
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Saturday, June 20, 2020 | Tulsa | Tulsa County | (6200) | OK | BOK Center | Tuesday, June 23, 2020[109] | Phoenix | Maricopa County | AZ | DreamJoe City Foss Church Hangar | Monday, August 17, 2020[110] | Mankato | Blue Earth County | 64,013 | MN | Mankato Regional Airport | Blue Earth sees a rise in cases 10 days after the rally. Brown sees a rise in cases 26 days after the rally. Faribault sees a rise in cases around 12-14 days | ||
Monday, August 17, 2020[111] | Oshkosh | Winnebago County | 171907 (several hundred) | WI | Oshkosh airway | Fond Du Lac, Outagamie and Winnebago's daily confirmed cases roughly doubled 12 days after the rally, and continued to rise. Follwing the nd of the 14 day incubation period there is a pronounced rise in daily confirmed cases for all counties. | |||||||||||||
Tuesday, August 18, 2020[112] | Yuma | Yuma County | 195795 | AZ | Joe Foss Hangar | No apparent impact. | |||||||||||||
Thursday, August 20, 2020[113] | Old Forge | Lackawanna County | 209674 | PA | Mariotti Building Products | There are significant rises in the number of cases in the 2-14 days after the event on 8/20/20.
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Friday, August 28, 2020[114] | Londonderry | Rockingham County | 309769 (1400) | NH | Pro Star Aviation | There is a rise in confirmed cases for all counties, 5-14 days following the rally. | |||||||||||||
Thursday, September 3, 2020[115] | Latrobe | Westmoreland County | 348899 | PA | Arnold Palmer Regional Airport | No Steep rise of cases in Indiana county, no apparent increase in other counties. | |||||||||||||
Tuesday, September 8, 2020[116] | Winston-Salem | Forsyth County | 382295 | NC | Smith Reynolds Airport | There is a steep rise in daily confirmed cases following the 14 day incubation period. | |||||||||||||
Thursday, September 10, 2020[117] | Freeland | Saginaw County | 190539 | MI | Avflight Saginaw | There is a slow rise in daily confirmed cases starting in the 14 day incubation period and continuing afterwards | |||||||||||||
Saturday, September 12, 2020[118] | Indoors | Douglas County | 48905 | NV | Minden-Tahoe Airport | There is a rise in cases in 4 of the 5 counties starting a few days after the rally. | |||||||||||||
Sunday, September 13, 2020[119] | Henderson | Clark County | 2.28 million (5600) | NV | Xtreme Manufacturing | Clark, Mohave, and Nye counties all see a rise in confirmed cases starting between the 17th and 20th of September. | |||||||||||||
Friday, September 18, 2020[120] | Bemidji | Beltrami County | 47188 | MN | Bemidji Aviation Services | There is a pronounced rise in the daily confirmed cases that starts in the incubation period and continues afterwards. | |||||||||||||
Friday, September 18, 2020[121] | Mosinee | Marathon County | 135692 | WI | Central Wisconsin Aviation |
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We look at the adjacent counties in the same state (using https://gisgeography.com/us-county-map/) we see the following counties:
Douglas County NV | Clark County NV | Winnebago WI | Blue Earth MN | Lackawanna PA | Rockingham NH |
Marathon County WI 9/17/2020 | Yuma county AZ 8/18/2020 | Westmoreland PA 9/3/2020 | Forsyth NC 9/8/2020 | Saginaw MI 9/10/2020 | Beltrami County MN 9/18/2020 |
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First, we just look at the number of daily confirmed cases for the county in which the event was held.
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