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  • The smoothed daily confirmed cases indicated marked increases in the cases as follows

    CountyStatedate of eventdate of noticeable increase in casesmagnitude of increasedelaypeak
    Blue Earth Minnesota8/17/20208/27/20203x increase in cases/day10 days9/03/2020
    Lackawanna Pennsylvania8/20/20208/29/20203x increase in cases/day9 days9/04-15/2020
    RockinghamNew Hampshire 8/28/20209/10/2020

    2x increase in cases/day

    However no cases were linked to the rally by Sept 11.

    13 days9/12-17/2020
    Winnebago Wisconsin8/17/20208/28/20202.5x increase in cases/day11 days89/18/20
    Westmoreland Pennsylvania9/3/20209/12/2020  No apparent increase

    SaginawMichigan9/10/2020
    No apparent increase

    DouglasNevada9/12/2020



    The sharp rise in Winnebago from about 10 confirmed cases/day before the rally to over 80 new daily cases reported on 8/19/2020 is a concern. 

If we look at the surrounding counties in the same state we see:

Douglas County NV

Winnebago WI

Blue Earth MN

Lackawanna PA

Rockingham NH

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