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We just look at the number of daily confirmed cases for the county in which the event was held. Thus we do not include cases from surrounding counties etc.

August 9/17/2017 2020August 19 2020

Image Modified

Observations:

  • The smoothed daily confirmed cases indicated marked increases in the cases as follows

    CountyStatedate of eventdate of noticeable increase in casesmagnitude of increasedelaypeak
    Blue Earth Minnesota8/17/20208/27/20203x increase in cases/day10 days9/03/2020
    Lackawanna Pennsylvania8/20/20208/29/20203x increase in cases/day9 days9/04-15/2020
    RockinghamNew Hampshire 8/28/20209/10/2020

    2x increase in cases/day

    However no cases were linked to the rally by Sept 11.

    13 daysNot yet
    Winnebago Wisconsin8/17/20208/28/20202.5x increase in cases/day11 daysNot yet8/18/20
    Westmoreland Pennsylvania9/3/20209/12/2020  No apparent increase

    The sharp rise in Winnebago from about 10 confirmed cases/day before the rally to over 60 80 new daily cases reported on 8/1719/2020 is a concern. Also sse