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 The following statistics are from the Johns Hopkins University site (https://github.com/CSSEGISandData/COVID-19/blob/master/csse_covid_19_data/csse_covid_19_time_series/time_series_covid19_confirmed_global.csv)

Northern Hemisphere countries with contrasting strategies 8/31/20

Here we chose 9 countries in the Northern hemisphere with contrasting approaches to how they responded to the pandemic. All except India have high per capita incomes. The countries are:

Also see 

 

confirmed cases linear Y-axis

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confirmed/million population

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Log10 confirmed/million population

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deaths linear axis

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deaths/million population

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Log10 deaths/million population

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% Deaths/confirmed

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Daily confirmed per million population

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Daily deaths per million population

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Observations:

  • In terms of total confirmed cases the US stands out as the leader with almost 6 million cases.  India is next in line with almost 3.7 million cases. 
  • If one looks at the fraction of a country's population (in terms of cases/.million population) then again the US leads. The runner up is Sweden with about half the cases, followed by the UK, Canada, then Germany and Denmark running neck and neck,  India, with Japan at 1/5th of india, but increasing, and Taiwan with about 1/25th of Japan's cases/million population. 
  • Confirmed cases continue to rise noticeably in all countries except Japan
  • The log10 scale plot assists in seeing the differences between Japan and Taiwan.
  • The steepest rises in confirmed cases per day per million population are for the US (~125 confirmed cases/day/million population) and India (~50 confirmed cases/day/million population).
  • Deaths tell a similar story with the US leading with 183K deaths, followed by India with 65K deaths and the UK with 41.5K deaths.
  • Deaths are still climbing in the US (~2.5/day/million population) and India (~0.6/day/million population) while other countries have pretty much stabilized at under 0.25 deaths/day/million population.
  • The ratio of deaths/confirmed cases is highest for the UK followed by Canada and Sweden, followed by Germany and Denmark. The ratio is dropping with time.

Top ten countries with Covid-19 cases 8/9/20

Daily confirmed

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Daily deaths  

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Total deaths/confirmed cases  

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Observations among these countries:

  • Iran was the first of the big 10 countries to record confirmed cases and deaths. The US followed about 2 weeks later.
  • Iran peaked at the end of March. Iran's daily confirmed cases per capita hen dropped until the start of May after which they surged again and have held steady after the second week in June.
  • The US daily confirmed cases per capita started to decline after the start of May but then increased again in the 30 days starting in the 3rd week of June.
  • Russia's daily confirmed cases per capita caught up with the US at the start of June, then after tracking the US until around June 16th and then continued its downward slope while the US increased.
  • Chile has the largest number of daily reported confirmed cases per capita from the 4th week of May to the 4th week of June.
  • India's daily confirmed cases per capita and. deaths per capita have not peaked yet.
  • Looking at the ratio of daily deaths/confirmed cases:
    • Mexico has more than a factor 2 (nb. the y scale is log base 10) daily deaths/confirmed cases than any other country.
    • Russia and S. Africa have the lowest daily deaths/confirmed cases since the end of June.
    • Brazil, the US and India have reduced their ratio over the last two and a half months while Chlle's and Russia's has increased

Countries with the leading numbers of cases 7/28/2020

As of 7/28/2020, the US leads in confirmed cases :

ConfirmedID

Population

(K)

Covid-19 confirmeddeathsdeaths / confirmed%confirmed / MPop

deaths /M

Pop

United Statesus331002.651 43396001490873.4413110.469450.41029
Brazilbr212559.417 2483191885393.5711682.3382416.53765
Indiain1380004.39 1531669341932.231109.9015424.777457
Russiaru145934.462 822060134831.645633.0765892.390788
South Africaza59308.69 45976172571.587752.00059122.359809
Mexicomx128932.753 4026974487611.143123.31034348.057409
Perupe32971.854 395005186124.7111980.0664564.481451
Chilecl19116.201 34980092402.6418298.6149483.359638
United Kingdomuk67886.011 3022614596315.214452.47844677.061435
Iranir83992.949 296273161475.453527.35561192.242327

The US also leads in the number of deaths:

StateIDPopulation(K)Covid-19 confirmeddeathsdeaths/confirmed%confirmed/MPopdeaths/MPop
United Statesus331002.651 43396001490873.4413110.469450.41029
Brazilbr212559.417 2483191885393.5711682.3382416.53765
United Kingdomuk67886.011 3022614596315.214452.47844677.061435
Mexicomx128932.753 4026974487611.143123.31034348.057409
Italyit60461.826 2464883512314.254076.75415580.911996
Indiain1380004.39 1531669341932.231109.9015424.777457
Francefr65273.511 2210773022613.673386.93287463.066863
Spaines46754.778 2806102843610.136001.73954608.194525
Perupe32971.854 395005186124.7111980.0664564.481451
Iranir83992.949 296273161475.453527.35561192.242327

If one normalizes by dividing by the population then the United States drops to eighth in the world in reported confirmed cases per population:

StateIDPopulation(K)Covid-19 confirmeddeathsdeaths/confirmed%confirmed/MPopdeaths/MPop
Qatarqa2881.053 1098801670.1538138.833357.964918
French Guianagf298.682 7562430.5725317.8966143.965823
Bahrainbh1701.575 399211410.3523461.205182.864405
Chilecl19116.201 34980092402.6418298.6149483.359638
Omanom5106.626 779044020.5215255.47478.721254
Kuwaitkw4270.571 651494420.6815255.3371103.49904
Panamapa4314.767 6222313492.1714420.9409312.647241
United Statesus331002.651 43396001490873.4413110.469450.41029
Armeniaam2963.243 376297191.9112698.5873242.639568
Perupe32971.854 395005186124.7111980.0664564.481451

and drops to 9th in deaths per population.

StateIDPopulation(K)Covid-19 confirmeddeathsdeaths / confirmed%confirmed / M Popdeaths / M Pop
Belgiumbe11589.623 66662983314.755751.86958848.431394
United Kingdomuk67886.011 3022614596315.214452.47844677.061435
Spaines46754.778 2806102843610.136001.73954608.194525
Italyit60461.826 2464883512314.254076.75415580.911996
Swedense10099.265 7949457027.177871.26588564.595542
Perupe32971.854 395005186124.7111980.0664564.481451
Chilecl19116.201 34980092402.6418298.6149483.359638
Francefr65273.511 2210773022613.673386.93287463.066863
United Statesus331002.651 43396001490873.4413110.469450.41029
Brazilbr212559.417 2483191885393.5711682.3382416.53765

In terms of deaths/confirmed the Unites States drops to 55th highest among 179 countries.

Daily cases 7/31/2020

Looking in more details the leading countries by confirmed cases per day per 1000 population on July 31st were:

  RegionPopulation (K)confirmed/day/Kpopdeaths/day/pop
BrazilAmerica South212559.4170.24640.005702
PeruAmerica South32971.8540.20650.006217
United StatesAmerica North331002.6510.20180.003788
ColombiaAmerica South50882.8910.18650.005798
South AfricaAfrica South59308.690.18570.003254
Dominican RepublicAmerica Carribbean10847.910.15980.001291
GuineaAfrica West13132.7950.1390.002437
BoliviaAmerica South11673.0210.13320.00711
ArgentinaAmerica South45195.7740.13120.002257
ChileAmerica South19116.2010.11150.004185

And by deaths:

  RegionPopulation (K)confirmed/day/Kpopdeaths/day/pop
BoliviaAmerica South11673.0210.13320.00711
PeruAmerica South32971.8540.20650.006217
ColombiaAmerica South50882.8910.18650.005798
BrazilAmerica South212559.4170.24640.005702
ChileAmerica South19116.2010.11150.004185
United StatesAmerica North331002.6510.20180.003788
South AfricaAfrica South59308.690.18570.003254
GuineaAfrica West13132.7950.1390.002437
ArgentinaAmerica South45195.7740.13120.002257
Dominican RepublicAmerica Carribbean10847.910.15980.001291

Comparing the spread of Covid19 in Canada and the US with larger W European countries

Confirmed Cases

It is seen that Italy was the first country whose Covid-19 confirmed cases spike. This was followed by Spain then Germany and France.  Germany was particularly successful in suppressing its peak. The UK has a long tail and the virus has just run away in the US which now has about 10 times more confirmed cases as the other countries with the exception of Spain. Recently Spain has seen an uptick in cases

Deaths

It is seen that US deaths / day / capita are over three times that of the nearest competitor (UK) and over 10 times greater than the next competitor (France)

Possible correlation of Covid-19 cases per capita versus median population age for world's countries

The median population age varies by country from about 15 to 50. The 15 countries with the lowest median population age are all in Africa.

StateIDPopulation(K)Median Age (yrs)Income per capita($)Covid-19 confirmeddeathsdeaths/confirmed%confirmed/KPopdeaths/KPop
Nigerne24206.64415.11019429369372.181.7737280.038708
Maliml20250.83316.4221825201244.920.1244390.006123
Ugandaug45741.00716.41868113520.180.0248140.000044
Chadtd16425.86416.7000011945926758.10.0563750.004566
Angolaao32866.27216.79999966581000474.70.0304260.00143
Somaliaso15893.22216.799999 3212932.90.2020990.005852
Burundibi11890.78417.573537810.260.0317890.000084
Gambiagm2416.66817.5169932682.450.1348960.00331
Burkina Fasobf20903.27317.618661105534.80.0528630.002535
Mozambiquemz31255.43517.70000112501720110.640.055030.000352
Tanzaniatz59734.21817.7000012948509214.130.0085210.000352
Zambiazm18383.95517.700001403350021422.840.2720850.007724
Malawimw19129.95218.1120537091032.780.1938840.005384
Nigeriang206139.58918.15887418048682.080.2027950.004211
Central African Republiccf4829.76718.2999997274599591.280.952220.012216

Since Covid-19 death rates appear to be higher for older people (see for example https://www.cdph.ca.gov/Programs/CID/DCDC/Pages/COVID-19/COVID-19-Cases-by-Age-Group.aspx for California), we looked at the Covid-19 deaths per capita  for 179 countries versus a country's population median age. However, there appears to be very little correlation.

 



 

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