The following statistics are from the Johns Hopkins University site (https://github.com/CSSEGISandData/COVID-19/blob/master/csse_covid_19_data/csse_covid_19_time_series/time_series_covid19_confirmed_global.csv)
Southern Hemisphere countries with big outbreaks 9/2/2020
Western and Northern Europe and the US 10/4/20
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Top 9 N hemisphere countries by Covid-19 confirmed cases 9/10/20
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European Union and the US
Here we compare the United States (US) cases with the top 8 European Union (EU) countries by population. Here we chose 8 countries completely in the Southern hemisphere that had large pandemic outbreaks and one (New Zealand) that did not.
Name | Population (K) | Region | Income per capita ($) | Pop-Density (Kpop/sq-km) | Median Age (yrs) |
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COVID-19 Information |
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Belgium |
11589. |
623 |
W Europe |
49367 | 0. |
38 |
41. |
799999 | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/COVID-19_pandemic_in_Belgium | ||||
France | 65273.511 | W Europe | 44033 | 0.118 | 42 |
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/COVID-19_pandemic_in_ |
France |
Germany |
83783. |
942 |
W Europe |
52556 | 0. |
235 |
46. |
confirmed cases linear Y-axis Click on chart for more information | confirmed/million population Click on chart for more information | Log10 confirmed/million population Click on chart for more information |
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deaths linear Y-axis Click on chart for more information | deaths/million population Click on chart for more information | Log10 confirmed/million population Click on chart for more information |
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% Deaths/confirmed Click on chart for more information | Daily confirmed per million population Click on chart for more information | Daily deaths per million population Click on chart for more information |
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Observations:
599998 | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/COVID-19_pandemic_in_Germany | |||||
Italy | 60461.826 | S Europe | 40924 | 0.201 | 47.900002 | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/COVID-19_pandemic_in_Italy |
Netherlands | 17134.872 | W Europe | 54422 | 0.409 | 43.200001 | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/COVID-19_pandemic_in_the_Netherlands |
Poland | 37846.611 | E Europe | 29924 | 0.121 | 41.799999 | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/COVID-19_pandemic_in_Poland |
Romania | 19237.691 | E Europe | 26660 | 0.081 | 43 | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/COVID-19_pandemic_in_Romania |
Spain | 46754.778 | S Europe | 39037 | 0.092 | 45.5 | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/COVID-19_pandemic_in_Spain |
United States | 331002.651 | N America | 59928 | 0.035 | 38.299999 | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/COVID-19_pandemic_in_the_United_States |
Also see:
- https://www.statista.com/chart/22102/daily-covid-19-cases-in-the-us-and-the-eu/
- https://www.motherjones.com/kevin-drum/2020/06/the-us-lags-way-behind-europe-in-covid-19-mortality/
- https://www.healthline.com/health-news/europe-fights-back-against-second-covid-19-wave#Why-are-cases-rising?
In particular, we wished to investigate in more detail the comparison between the US and the EU shown in https://www.statista.com/chart/22102/daily-covid-19-cases-in-the-us-and-the-eu/ and seen below:
Augst 23 data | Current data |
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You will find more infographics at Statista |
Thus we extracted the EU Covid-19 results as of September 4th 2020, for the top 8 EU countries by population and compared them with the US, see below.
confirmed/million population Click on chart for more information | deaths/million population Click on chart for more information | |
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Observations:
- The first confirmed case is for the US on 1/22/20 followed by France on 1/24/20, Germany on 1/27/20 and Italy 1/31/20.
- The first death was for Italy on 2/21/20 (at this time 20 confirmed cases had been recorded for Italy) followed by the US on 2/28 (at this time 24 cases had been recorded for the US).
- In confirmed cases per million population, the US leads the European countries by a wide margin. The runner up is Spain followed closely by Belgium.
- It is noticeable that all 8 European Union countries flattened the curve of confirmed cases/million population in early May and held it until July with Romania being the first of the 8 EU to experience a renewed increase. The US has on the other has has yet to substantially flatten its curve.
- Looking at the deaths/million population, Belgium leads followed by Spain and Italy, with the US rapidly catching up with Italy. Poland and Germany have the lowest deaths/million population.
- All countries have passed the peak of deaths/confirmed cases with Italy having recently taken the lead from Belgium and France. The US and Poland have the lowest deaths/confirmed.
- In terms of confirmed cases /day/million population, the US has long held the lead peaking around the end of the 3rd week in July. It was overtaken by Spain which has seen a steep rise in daily confirmed cases starting the 2nd week of July. France has also seen steep rise since the start of August and is now in 3rd place. The other countries appear to have halted the second rise in daily confirmed cases/million population that started early July.
- Looking at the deaths/day/million population all countries had an initial peak between in March or April, the first to peak being Italy and Spain.
- Following the drop after the peaks, the US has held the lead since the end of May. By early September Romania was catching the US, while the other countries, apart from Spain which may be seeing a resurgence, were recording almost an order of magnitude fewer deaths/day/million population.
Southern Hemisphere countries with big outbreaks 9/2/2020
Here we chose 8 countries completely in the Southern hemisphere that had large pandemic outbreaks and one (New Zealand) that did not.
confirmed cases linear Y-axis Click on chart for more information | confirmed/million population Click on chart for more information | Log10 confirmed/million population Click on chart for more information |
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deaths linear Y-axis Click on chart for more information | deaths/million population Click on chart for more information | Log10 deaths/million population Click on chart for more information |
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The smoothing is a seven-day running average.
Observations:
- As would be expected Brazil, with the largest population by far (~ 3.5 times that of the runner up South Africa) had the largest number of confirmed cases.
- Once one normalizes the confirmed cases by the population then Chile takes the lead followed by Peru and then Brazil both of which are catching up with Chile, then a gap before South Africa, Bolivia and Argentina. Ecuador comes next, having considerably flattened its curve compared to the previous nations, and finally Australia and New Zealand.
- On January 26, 2020, Australia was the first of these countries to confirm a case, almost four weeks before the second country (Chile)
- Australia experienced exponential growth in confirmed cases throughout the month of March before dramatically flattening its curve in April.
- Australia then experienced a further rise in confirmed cases starting the second week of June and extending to the third week of August.
- Looking at the deaths, Brazil again has the most, over four and half time more than the runner up Peru.
- Once one normalizes the deaths by population then Peru is the leader followed by Chile with Brazil close behind, then Bolivia, Ecuador, South Africa and Argentina.
- The Log10 charts indicate that New Zealand has managed to successfully flatten both its confirmed cases and deaths, while Australia after flattening the curves has experienced a rise in both metrics starting in July.
- It appears that the ratio of deaths/confirmed with time has peaked and is going down for Ecuador, Brazil and Argentina. It apears to be rising again for Bolivia, Peru, Chile, South Africa and Australia. New Zealand is holding steady.
- The daily confirmed cases are on the rise for Chile and Argentina, falling for S. Africa, Chile, Australia and possibly Brazil.
- The daily deaths are falling for Brazil, Chile and S. Africa. They appear to be rising for Argentina and Australia. Ecuador and Bolivia appear to be roughly holding steady.
- New Zealand is a special case. Its first confirmed case was reported on February 28. The first death was a month later on March 29th by which time there had been 514 confirmed cases. The last death was May 29th (this was the 22nd cumulative death) by which time the number of confirmed cases totaled 1504.
- As would be expected Brazil, with the largest population by far (~ 3.5 times that of the runner up South Africa) had the largest number of confirmed cases.
- Once one normalizes the confirmed cases by the population then Chile takes the lead followed by Peru and then Brazil both of which are catching up with Peru, then a gap before South Africa, Bolivia and Argentina. Ecuador comes next, having considerably flattened its curve compared to the previous nations, and finally Australia and New Zealand.
- On January 26, 2020, Australia was the first of these countries to confirm a case, almost four weeks before the second country (Chile)
- Australia experienced exponential growth in confirmed cases throughout the month of March before dramatically flattening its curve in April.
- Australia then experienced a further rise in confirmed cases starting the second week of June and extending to the third week of August.
- Looking at the deaths, Brazil again has the most, over four and half time more than the runner up Peru.
- Once one normalizes the deaths by population then Peru is the leader followed by Chile with Brazil close behind, then Bolivia, Ecuador, South Africa and Argentina.
- The Log10 charts indicate that New Zealand has managed to successfully flatten both its confirmed cases and deaths, while Australia after flattening the curves has experienced a rise in both metrics starting in July.
- It appears that the ratio of deaths/confirmed with time has peaked and is going down for Ecuador, Brazil and Australia. It apears to be rising again for Bo/livia, Peru and Australia
Northern Hemisphere countries with contrasting strategies 8/31/20
Here we chose 9 countries in the Northern hemisphere with contrasting approaches to how they responded to the pandemic. All except India have high per capita incomes. The countries are:
Name | Population (K) | Region | Income per capita ($) | Pop-Density (Kpop/sq-km) | Median Age (yrs) | Covid-19 information |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Canada | 37742.154 | N America | 46510 | 0.004 | 41.4 | |
Denmark | 5792.202 | N Europe | 54356 | 0.134 | 42.3 | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/COVID-19_pandemic_in_Denmark |
Germany | 83783.942 | W Europe | 52556 | 0.235 | 46.6 | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/COVID-19_pandemic_in_Germany |
India | 1380004.39 | S Asia | 7166 | 0.42 | 28.2 | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/COVID-19_pandemic_in_India https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Statistics_of_COVID-19_pandemic_in_India |
Japan | 126476.461 | E Asia | 42067 | 0.335 | 48.2 | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Timeline_of_the_COVID-19_pandemic_in_Japan |
Sweden | 10099.265 | N Europe | 51405 | 0.022 | 41 | |
Taiwan | 23816.775 | E Asia | 22497 | 0.658 | 42.2 | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/COVID-19_pandemic_in_Taiwan |
United Kingdom | 67886.011 | W Europe | 44920 | 0.279 | 40.8 | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/COVID-19_pandemic_in_the_United_Kingdom |
United States | 331002.651 | N America | 59928 | 0.035 | 38.3 | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/COVID-19_pandemic_in_the_United_States |
Also see
- Covid-19 - Visualizing the data with Motion Charts#19-VisualizingthedatawithMotionCharts-NordicandBalticcountries8/17/20 for more comparisons between Sweden and other North European countries.
- Covid-19 Europe for more detail on European countries.
and Comparing the spread of Covid19 in Canada and the US with larger W European countries
...
confirmed cases linear Y-axis Click on chart for more information | confirmed/million population Click on chart for more information | Log10 confirmed/million population Click on chart for more information |
deaths linear axis Click on chart for more information | deaths/million population Click on chart for more information | Log10 deaths/million population Click on chart for more information |
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% Deaths/confirmed Click on chart for more information | Daily confirmed per million population Click on chart for more information | Daily deaths per million population Click on chart for more information |
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Observations:
- In terms of total confirmed cases the US stands out as the leader with almost 6 million cases. India is next in line with almost 3.7 million cases.
- If one looks at the fraction of a country's population (in terms of cases/.million population) then again the US leads. The runner up is Sweden with about half the cases, followed by the UK, Canada, then Germany and Denmark running neck and neck, India, with Japan at 1/5th of india, but increasing, and Taiwan with about 1/25th of Japan's cases/million population.
- Confirmed cases continue to rise noticeably in all countries except Japan
- The log10 scale plot assists in seeing the differences between Japan and Taiwan.
- The steepest rises in confirmed cases per day per million population are for the US (~125 confirmed cases/day/million population) and India (~50 confirmed cases/day/million population).
- Deaths tell a similar story with the US leading with 183K deaths, followed by India with 65K deaths and the UK with 41.5K deaths.
- Deaths are still climbing in the US (~2.5/day/million population) and India (~0.6/day/million population) while other countries have pretty much stabilized at under 0.25 deaths/day/million population.
- The ratio of deaths/confirmed cases is highest for the UK followed by Canada and Sweden, followed by Germany and Denmark. The ratio is dropping with time.
Top ten countries with Covid-19 cases 8/9/20
Daily confirmed Click on the chart for more information | Daily deaths Click on the chart for more information |
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Observations among these countries:
...
As of 7/28/2020, the US leads in confirmed cases :
Confirmed | ID | Population (K) | Covid-19 confirmed | deaths | deaths / confirmed% | confirmed / MPop | deaths /M Pop | |
United States | us | 331002.651 |
4339600 | 149087 | 3.44 | 13110.469 | 450.41029 | |
Brazil | br | 212559.417 |
2483191 | 88539 | 3.57 | 11682.3382 | 416.53765 | |
India | in | 1380004.39 |
1531669 | 34193 | 2.23 | 1109.90154 | 24.777457 | |
Russia | ru | 145934.462 |
822060 | 13483 | 1.64 | 5633.07658 | 92.390788 | ||
South Africa | za | 59308.69 |
459761 | 7257 | 1.58 | 7752.00059 | 122.359809 | ||
Mexico | mx | 128932.753 |
402697 | 44876 | 11.14 | 3123.31034 | 348.057409 | |
Peru | pe | 32971.854 |
395005 | 18612 | 4.71 | 11980.0664 | 564.481451 | |
Chile | cl | 19116.201 |
349800 | 9240 | 2.64 | 18298.6149 | 483.359638 | ||
United Kingdom | uk | 67886.011 |
302261 | 45963 | 15.21 | 4452.47844 | 677.061435 | ||
Iran | ir | 83992.949 |
296273 | 16147 | 5.45 | 3527.35561 | 192.242327 |
The US also leads in the number of deaths:
State | ID | Population(K) | Covid-19 confirmed | deaths | deaths/confirmed% | confirmed/MPop | deaths/MPop | |
United States | us | 331002.651 |
4339600 | 149087 | 3.44 | 13110.469 | 450.41029 | ||
Brazil | br | 212559.417 |
2483191 | 88539 | 3.57 | 11682.3382 | 416.53765 | ||
United Kingdom | uk | 67886.011 |
302261 | 45963 | 15.21 | 4452.47844 | 677.061435 | |
Mexico | mx | 128932.753 |
402697 | 44876 | 11.14 | 3123.31034 | 348.057409 | |
Italy | it | 60461.826 |
246488 | 35123 | 14.25 | 4076.75415 | 580.911996 | |
India | in | 1380004.39 |
1531669 | 34193 | 2.23 | 1109.90154 | 24.777457 | |
France | fr | 65273.511 |
221077 | 30226 | 13.67 | 3386.93287 | 463.066863 | |
Spain | es | 46754.778 |
280610 | 28436 | 10.13 | 6001.73954 | 608.194525 | ||
Peru | pe | 32971.854 |
395005 | 18612 | 4.71 | 11980.0664 | 564.481451 | |
Iran | ir | 83992.949 |
296273 | 16147 | 5.45 | 3527.35561 | 192.242327 |
If one normalizes by dividing by the population then the United States drops to eighth in the world in reported confirmed cases per population:
State | ID | Population(K) | Covid-19 confirmed | deaths | deaths/confirmed% | confirmed/MPop | deaths/MPop | |
Qatar | qa | 2881.053 |
109880 | 167 | 0.15 | 38138.8333 | 57.964918 | |
French Guiana | gf | 298.682 |
7562 | 43 | 0.57 | 25317.8966 | 143.965823 | ||
Bahrain | bh | 1701.575 |
39921 | 141 | 0.35 | 23461.2051 | 82.864405 | ||
Chile | cl | 19116.201 |
349800 | 9240 | 2.64 | 18298.6149 | 483.359638 | |
Oman | om | 5106.626 |
77904 | 402 | 0.52 | 15255.474 | 78.721254 | |
Kuwait | kw | 4270.571 |
65149 | 442 | 0.68 | 15255.3371 | 103.49904 | |
Panama | pa | 4314.767 |
62223 | 1349 | 2.17 | 14420.9409 | 312.647241 | ||
United States | us | 331002.651 |
4339600 | 149087 | 3.44 | 13110.469 | 450.41029 | |
Armenia | am | 2963.243 |
37629 | 719 | 1.91 | 12698.5873 | 242.639568 | |
Peru | pe | 32971.854 |
395005 | 18612 | 4.71 | 11980.0664 | 564.481451 |
and drops to 9th in deaths per population.
State | ID | Population(K) | Covid-19 confirmed | deaths | deaths / confirmed% | confirmed / M Pop | deaths / M Pop | |
Belgium | be | 11589.623 |
66662 | 9833 | 14.75 | 5751.86958 | 848.431394 | ||
United Kingdom | uk | 67886.011 |
302261 | 45963 | 15.21 | 4452.47844 | 677.061435 | ||
Spain | es | 46754.778 |
280610 | 28436 | 10.13 | 6001.73954 | 608.194525 | |
Italy | it | 60461.826 |
246488 | 35123 | 14.25 | 4076.75415 | 580.911996 | |
Sweden | se | 10099.265 |
79494 | 5702 | 7.17 | 7871.26588 | 564.595542 | |
Peru | pe | 32971.854 |
395005 | 18612 | 4.71 | 11980.0664 | 564.481451 | ||
Chile | cl | 19116.201 |
349800 | 9240 | 2.64 | 18298.6149 | 483.359638 | ||
France | fr | 65273.511 |
221077 | 30226 | 13.67 | 3386.93287 | 463.066863 | |
United States | us | 331002.651 |
4339600 | 149087 | 3.44 | 13110.469 | 450.41029 | |
Brazil | br | 212559.417 |
2483191 | 88539 | 3.57 | 11682.3382 | 416.53765 |
In terms of deaths/confirmed the Unites States drops to 55th highest among 179 countries.
...
Looking in more details the leading countries by confirmed cases per day per 1000 population on July 31st were:
...
Region | Population (K) | confirmed/day/Kpop | deaths/day/pop | |
Brazil | America South | 212559.417 | 0.2464 | 0.005702 |
Peru | America South | 32971.854 | 0.2065 | 0.006217 |
United States | America North | 331002.651 | 0.2018 | 0.003788 |
Colombia | America South | 50882.891 | 0.1865 | 0.005798 |
South Africa | Africa South | 59308.69 | 0.1857 | 0.003254 |
Dominican Republic | America Carribbean | 10847.91 | 0.1598 | 0.001291 |
Guinea | Africa West | 13132.795 | 0.139 | 0.002437 |
Bolivia | America South | 11673.021 | 0.1332 | 0.00711 |
Argentina | America South | 45195.774 | 0.1312 | 0.002257 |
Chile | America South | 19116.201 | 0.1115 | 0.004185 |
And by deaths:
Region | Population (K) | confirmed/day/Kpop | deaths/day/pop | |
Bolivia | America South | 11673.021 | 0.1332 | 0.00711 |
Peru | America South | 32971.854 | 0.2065 | 0.006217 |
Colombia | America South | 50882.891 | 0.1865 | 0.005798 |
Brazil | America South | 212559.417 | 0.2464 | 0.005702 |
Chile | America South | 19116.201 | 0.1115 | 0.004185 |
United States | America North | 331002.651 | 0.2018 | 0.003788 |
South Africa | Africa South | 59308.69 | 0.1857 | 0.003254 |
Guinea | Africa West | 13132.795 | 0.139 | 0.002437 |
Argentina | America South | 45195.774 | 0.1312 | 0.002257 |
Dominican Republic | America Carribbean | 10847.91 | 0.1598 | 0.001291 |
Comparing the spread of Covid19 in Canada and the US with larger W European countries
...
The median population age varies by country from about 15 to 50. The 15 countries with the lowest median population age are all in Africa.
State | ID | Population(K) | Median Age (yrs) | Income per capita($) | Covid-19 confirmed | deaths | deaths/confirmed% | confirmed/KPop | deaths/KPop |
Niger | ne | 24206.644 | 15.1 | 1019 | 42936 | 937 | 2.18 | 1.773728 | 0.038708 |
Mali | ml | 20250.833 | 16.4 | 2218 | 2520 | 124 | 4.92 | 0.124439 | 0.006123 |
Uganda | ug | 45741.007 | 16.4 | 1868 | 1135 | 2 | 0.18 | 0.024814 | 0.000044 |
Chad | td | 16425.864 | 16.700001 | 1945 | 926 | 75 | 8.1 | 0.056375 | 0.004566 |
Angola | ao | 32866.272 | 16.799999 | 6658 | 1000 | 47 | 4.7 | 0.030426 | 0.00143 |
Somalia | so | 15893.222 | 16.799999 |
3212 | 93 | 2.9 | 0.202099 | 0.005852 | |||||
Burundi | bi | 11890.784 | 17.5 | 735 | 378 | 1 | 0.26 | 0.031789 | 0.000084 |
Gambia | gm | 2416.668 | 17.5 | 1699 | 326 | 8 | 2.45 | 0.134896 | 0.00331 |
Burkina Faso | bf | 20903.273 | 17.6 | 1866 | 1105 | 53 | 4.8 | 0.052863 | 0.002535 |
Mozambique | mz | 31255.435 | 17.700001 | 1250 | 1720 | 11 | 0.64 | 0.05503 | 0.000352 |
Tanzania | tz | 59734.218 | 17.700001 | 2948 | 509 | 21 | 4.13 | 0.008521 | 0.000352 |
Zambia | zm | 18383.955 | 17.700001 | 4033 | 5002 | 142 | 2.84 | 0.272085 | 0.007724 |
Malawi | mw | 19129.952 | 18.1 | 1205 | 3709 | 103 | 2.78 | 0.193884 | 0.005384 |
Nigeria | ng | 206139.589 | 18.1 | 5887 | 41804 | 868 | 2.08 | 0.202795 | 0.004211 |
Central African Republic | cf | 4829.767 | 18.299999 | 727 | 4599 | 59 | 1.28 | 0.95222 | 0.012216 |
Since Covid-19 death rates appear to be higher for older people (see for example https://www.cdph.ca.gov/Programs/CID/DCDC/Pages/COVID-19/COVID-19-Cases-by-Age-Group.aspx for California), we looked at the Covid-19 deaths per capita for 179 countries versus a country's population median age. However, there appears to be very little correlation.