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There are many models predicting the short term deaths, in particular, see https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/covid-forecasts/ for listing and comparing multiple predictions of the number of Americans who will die due to COVID-19. Longer-term, the University of Washington’s Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME) released its latest pandemic forecast September 11, 2020. Compared to a A simple linear extrapolation of the current (as of 9/10/20) cases that predicts ~ 300K deaths by the end of 2020, it predicts.

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COVID-19 Simple linear extrapolation of cases for the US
COVID-19 Simple linear extrapolation of cases for the US

Top 9 US States by Positivity Rate 9/8/2020

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