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The top 9 states are shown below ranked by their Positivity (from https://coronavirus.jhu.edu/testing/testing-positivity 9/8/2020) together with some demographics and statistics.
| State | ID | Population | Positivity | Covid-19 confirmed so far | deaths so far | %deaths/ confirmed | confirmed/ MPop so far | deaths/ MPop so far | smoothed (daily Confirmed/ MPop) | smoothed (daily Deaths/ MPop) | Political leaning | Income per capita ($) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| North Dakota | ND | 756927 | 19.58% | 13872 | 156 | 1.12 | 18326.7343 | 206.0965 | 353.3083 | 2.076064 | Swing | 33071 |
| South Dakota | SD | 858469 | 18.73% | 15403 | 173 | 1.12 | 17942.4068 | 201.5215 | 275.2408 | 0.99845539 | Republican | 26959 |
| Alabama | AL | 4858979 | 18.42% | 133606 | 2277 | 1.7 | 27496.7231 | 468.617 | 176.1099 | 2.263850 | Republican | 23606 |
| Kansas | KS | 2911641 | 18.36% | 56854 | 579 | 1.02 | 19526.4457 | 198.8569 | 224.5175 | 2.5513348 | Republican | 27870 |
| Mississippi | MS | 2992333 | 17.28% | 89069 | 2619 | 2.94 | 29765.738 | 875.2368 | 186.0469 | 4.965070 | Republican | 21036 |
| Iowa | IA | 3123899 | 15.31% | 71142 | 1185 | 1.67 | 22773.4635 | 379.3336 | 236.6091 | 2.7438239 | Swing | 28361 |
| Idaho | ID | 1654930 | 14.78% | 33978 | 389 | 1.14 | 20531.382 | 235.0553 | 140.2735 | 1.8990876 | Republican | 23938 |
| Missouri | MO | 6083672 | 14.5% | 96181 | 1690 | 1.76 | 15809.6952 | 277.7928 | 221.7411 | 3.0057034 | Republican | 26126 |
| Florida | FL | 20271272 | 13.32% | 650092 | 11915 | 1.83 | 32069.6205 | 587.7776 | 134.2646 | 3.8125735 | Swing | 26582 |
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- Florida reported its first cases 3/3/20 and its first death 3/8/20, the latter date being the same days as the day that Kansas and Missouri announced their first confirmed cases. None of the other 6 states had any confirmed cases by this date.
- As would be expected since Florida has over three times the population of any of the other states, its confirmed cases and. deaths lead the way by a wide margin.
- In terms of deaths/confirmed cases Missouri led until the end of July when Mississippi took the lead.
- When one normalizes cases by the population of each state, then the confirmed cases and deaths are more evenly spread, and none of the states has flattened its curve of confirmed cases.
- Idaho appears to have managed to flatten its curve of deaths/million population after 5/11/20 until 7/15/20 when it took off again.
- Florida, Mississippi and Alabama appear to have a peak in daily confirmed cases two to three weeks after the July 4th holiday. There is a further rise in daily confirmed cases for North and South Dakota, Iowa and Alabama towards the end of August.
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