Part 1 - Notes from the meeting
Sparse notes from TOPIC 1 - BLAZAR VARIABILITY
Malaga 2016 MW conference jets2016.iaa.es
One of the best example are Jorstad et al. with BL Lac, GASP large database of radio-optical flux data on BL Lac (other example NRAO 530/PKS 1730-13), emission lines blazar PKS 1510-08, 3C 454.3, 3C 279 (optical magnitude more bright after the ejection of a huge bright superluminal radio components)
Svetlana J.: 1. theoreticians have to pay attention to these behaviors. 2. what theoreticians want from MW campaigns/observations? 3. there are needs to justifications in maintain VLBI monitor for example.
Radio flux monitors: Metsahovi, OVRO, Effelsberg FGAMMA, some more global collaborations.
Alan M.: CTA 102, Coppi's talk in Krakow (UV flashes, emission lines, variability. ...).
What elese do we need ? Alan M.'s inputs: MOJAVE 37 sources, we want more VLBI images, newly interesting blazars?, wavelenght-dependent optical polarization, test turbulence and magnetic reconnection models, better X-ray, UV, IR coverage, more Swift data, Astrosat?, ground-based IR telescopes ?, monitor emission line profiles (central line part, orbital motion etc.), follow-up studies like Isler et al, Leon-Tavarez et al...
RoboPol new interesting facility, good weather implies many observations but observing time very busy for this telescope,
MW observations need a lot of man power!
No still broad and systematic variability analysis and statistical patterns studies in the bands, radio, X-ray etc... i.e. for complete sets and samples of AGN/blazars.
PDS affected by variable bin sizes among different sources. A lot of stochastic processes/noise going on, need to asset systematics,
Example: for 1 single source too what is the relation between the flare length and size with the energy band ? Timescale of variability in function of the energy band ? Any universal properties of flares ?
Stefan W.: cover some timescale for some objects, effort in systematic monitor, problem in correlate events (we correlate some timescales and we miss other scales).
Manpower problem to: 1.obtain data, 2.analyze them, 3.do analysis, 4.write paper, 5.then release data to the community.
Matt L.: sharing data problem. Chicago conference years ago. Problem to schedule the share of the data. Matt's web table regularly updated (trying to).
Dave T.: please send information to Matt L. (MW observations, sources, etc.). Also use and fill confluence LAT MW coordinating page. Text automatically generated would be nice.
Stefano C.: eRosita MoU with Fermi ? (unid. sources, blazar association, population studies, etc.). What we have learned from the observation (for the first time) of low gamma-ray states (for example in 3C 454.3, in PKS 1510-08, ...)?. GAIA mission (some strips of the sky scanned also 70 times i.e. multi-epoch data) and possible studies of the photocenter shift localization of the optical emission zone during gamma-ray flares (origin of gamma-ray emission and the blazar zone emission production). Only for bright optical balzars (mag < 17 ?) anyway.
Sparse notes from TOPIC 2 - AGN DEMOGRAPHY
Matt L.talk: 1 SED (nu peak, synch/IC peaks, Compton dominance, SED dependence on optical class? jet kinetic power? other props?); 2 Luminosity functions (beamed vs unbeamed, dependence on optical class) ; 3 Nature of unidentified sources (how many are the blazars? can we predict their SEDs at low energies based on Fermi SEDs?); 4. fundamental properties of blazars ? which are the most useful classifications ? (SED peaks, luminosity, frequency, jet Lorentz factor/Doppler factor, BLR/no-BLR ?).
There are some biases. Several year to try to arrive at a sort of HR stellar diagram (mass/luminosity parameter that determines the position and fate of a star) for blazars (blazar sequence). But biases and too much parameters for blazar physics tat is not mono-parameter. Blazar classification system quite complicated.
Justin F.: we have a lot of population and luminosity functions in the radio, optical and now in Fermi (Ajello etc.). How we connect different luminosity functions extracted from the radio, from the X-ray from the gamma-ray ?
Benoit L.: BL Lac objects show some correlations in terms of blazar sequence-like (biased) schemes but not the FSRQs. FSRQ are almost all low-energy peaked so the lack of correlation even if there is very broad luminosity range the range of peak frequencies is narrow.
Small number of misalined AGN (radiogalaxies) detected by the LAT. This is a problem for population studies.
Difference in EGRET and Fermi LAT blazars (even if Fermi LAT has detected the brightest EGRET blazars).
Problem of the peak determination arise by the lack of mid/far-IR data. For IC peak we need hard-X and MeV data (lack again).
We might monitor the change of the IC Compton peak even in the most 5 famous blazars. Bright flares show small changes in LAT gamma-ray photon index! Studying these changes during flares with also MW data because there is always the problem we have not so much observations to monitor the synchrotron peak changes. We have not done it for much sources ( except maybe Mkn 421, Mkn 501, PKS 2155-304).
PKS 2155-304: surprises! Opposite behavior to that one expected. TeV correlates with optical. GeV LAT correlates with X-rays!
Archival SED data of low quality or anyway not simultaneous data. Problem and bias for the SED sequence paradigm.
We had some joint campaigns with the Fermi LAT LAT and TeV Cherenkov telescopes, but we need the synchrotron monitor at the same time.
Question: how can more Fermi observation time contribute to the several open questions in blazar topic? (+ fraction of flaring sources, + better error circles, + better variability characterization, + better determination IC SED peak, + cases of flaring/non-flaring states comparisons, + long-term variations, + energy index vs IC peak variability, ...).
What are the key MW observations we need?
IR and sub-mm coverage, targeted coverage of Fermi error circles of unidentified sources; simultaneous coverage to look correlated variability in unidentified sources, more campaigns on the famous blazars (like PKS 2155-304?); multi-epoch spectroscopy (can we detect masquerading BL Lac?, how variable is the BLR emission? relation BLR emission line vs gamma-ray flux/hardness).
Several ATels on hard-GeV flares recently thanks to the new Pass 8 LAT data. More releases from the Flare Advocate service and quicklook sky watching.
Open questions: best ways to find TeV AGN in 0.5<z<1 ? We have the 2FHL catalog! Other thoughts?
Benoit L: More ways to associate sources ? Please propose potential new further schemes.
Determine the distribution and range of nu-synch-peak for all blazars down to some limiting flux nu-peak*f-peak? How increase the number of known ISP BL Lacs? Broadband blazar surveys ? Create a way to release and publish and distribute the MW data where one is working ?
Sparse notes from TOPIC 3 - SED MODELING
Alerts, emails etc. would be fine for flares and transients.
Discussion on how fast we can have alert from the LAT (possibly with still low case of flase-positives!) . Efforts to go below 1 day (12 hours possible?). Anyway data are on the FSSC server asap they are available and users can run their own quicklook/prompt analysis (some cases Pacciani, other).
How we can distinguish leptonic models from hadronic models ? Hadronic processes require much power in the jet.
Blazar sequence again: Fossati 1998, Meyer 2011, etc.
Models: Alan M.'s mix of turbulence and reconnection. Model of decelerating jet. Models of spine/sheat emission regions.
Can SED modeling constraint the location of the emission region?
Sparse notes from TOPIC 4 - OBSERVING STRATEGY
Stefan W. talk: Few sources very well OR many good as possibly ? Both? Smart cadence ? Coordination. If few, which one ?
Critical parameters (span luminosity range (z) ?, span Doppler factors ? Span thermal photon field ?, Span IC peaks ? Span gamma-min ?
Many may be sparse, how often ? What kind of data we want ? Be aware of biases.
How narrow band (e.g. MW photometry, MW polarimetry). Have we learned anything from color indexes in the optical regime? Have we learned something from multicolor polarimetry ? We do mix of things. Can we agree on must to do ? Flares any ? Specific sources ? Flux levels ?
Communication Matt Lister's page. Other forums ?
Part 2 - Summary of the pre-workshop questionnaire
(tentative summary) Participants: Smith, Ojha, Santander, Thompson, Saam, Su, Coppi, Shrader, Bangale, Dorner, Finke, Angelakis, Ciprini, Jorstad, Kar, Lott, Kong, Krauß, Mueller, Lister, Cameron, Marscher, Kargaltsev.
A Number of MW Campaigns Have Been Performed. What has been missed?
Both in TeV but in GeV sources, there haven't sufficient strictly simultaneous observations on the SHORTEST variability timescales. In VHE emitters, this can mean timescales as short as 5 min. We've been looking into the brightest Fermi flares, where we have best statistics, and that means looking on half-hour timescales, ideally in pointed mode, -- and doing so continuously for the duration of the flares, e.g., several days. Such dedicated observations are painful for many observatories (e.g., SMARTS) and so haven't happened a lot. Such observations go right to the heart of the underlying acceleration mechanisms. So far (but this is not a robust statement), while there can be good correlations between gamma and optical and ~day timescales, such correlations do NOT seem to exist on the short timescales. This is quite puzzling because in some models for FSRQ, the optical-NIR samples even higher energies than Fermi GeV. It could be that that there are in fact short timescale correlations, but that optical fluctuation amplitude are much lower, e.g., at ~10% level seen in PKS 2155 due to dilution from some steadier source. This is fine, but besides invalidating most detailed SED fits in the literature, it means in one-zone language that the Compton dominance is much higher than one might expect (which can be a problem). If the optical flares were to be diluted on short timescales then one still has to explain why they don't seem to be diluted on ~day timescales. Anyways, what we're hoping for is when some big flare happens that Fermi can actually get good statistics on (like 3C454.3), then everyone will pound on it around the clock to nail what down what exactly is going on.
What sources and data should the community focus on?
Stefano C: -- a) Unassociated sources. Even if here there is a reasonable expectation for future association with AGN/blazars, pulsars and known sources there is the need for much more multi-frequency observations and data (radio-optical-X-rays) to associate these source. There is also a non-negligible chance to discover new GeV gamma-ray source classes here. The statistics and prolonged all-sky survey in the next years is able to better constrain source localization, that is an important goal toward the association/identification. -- b) Dwarf galaxies. For indirect DM signal search, also MW data are important. With additional 10 years (i.e. a 20-year mission) of Fermi mission, the all-sky LAT survey and the Pass 8 data might results in a factor 2-4 increase in sensitivity with respect to the current state after 7 years of mission. In parallel in the next 10 years the expected number of Dwarf galaxy targets discovered might double to 50-70, adding another 2-3 factor in cumulated statistics. The DM indirect signal limits/discovery space probed could benefit therefore of a factor 4-10 more in the next 10 years thanks to the Fermi LAT. -- c) Gravitationally lensed gamma-ray AGN/blazars (i.e. PKS 1830-211, S3 0218+35, GB 1310+48, etc.) -- d) Possible oscillating periodic/quasi-periodic/pseudo-periodi/binary AGN/blazars (i.e. PG 1553+113, OJ 287, PKS 2155-304, S5 0716+71, etc.). -- e) FSRQ, BL Lac objects, HMB, microquasars. -- f) MW observations of LAT unassociated sources and error circle fields. -- g) Possible idea to propose for the Swift-extended mission a dedicated and priority program and service for Fermi follow-up observations of flares, transient and sky fields of the unassociated LAT sources. Fermi-Swift synergy already demonstrated and Swift gained points in its evaluation also because is an optimal follow-up mission for Fermi LAT.
Data Have Revealed Features that Deserve Confirmation/Deeper Investigation. What are these features?
Stefano C: -- a) Gravitationally lensed gamma-ray AGN/blazars. -- b) Possible oscillating periodic/quasi-periodic/pseudo-periodic/binary or AGN/blazars. -- c) Spectral features in gamma-ray blazars. -- d) Better constrain of the high energy SED component and temporal evolution useful for theoretical blazar emission modeling. -- e) Possible gamma-ray blazars with physics of complexity/intermittence/turbulence (disk-jet physics) features in ligth curves. -- f) DM indirect signal search in Dwarf galaxies. -- g) Are Globular Clusters of our Galaxy (i.e. roughly old mini-dwarf "galaxies") also useful for cumulated DM signal Fermi LAT searches ? -- h) Gamma-ray AGN/blazars as useful cosmic probes (EBL, EGB, etc.) and possible new-physics laboratories. -- i) Search for more Novae, cataclismic stars, bursting stars in the past 7 years to be cross correlated with LAT data.
Which sources present these features?
What bands reveal these features?
A Number of Sources Have Exhibited Peculiar Behavior. What sources are these?
The bizarre nature of 4C +55.17 has yet to be resolved.
How does this shed light on an open issue?
What Has Not Been Done Yet? What correlations have we not studied?
MW polarisation studies have not been exhausted.
What sources have we not focused on?
Multiwavelength surveys in Fermi error circle regions for unassociated sources need to be pursued more heavily - the radio-gamma correlations for AGN indicate, for example, very weak radio fluxes for some of these - can perhaps use existing statistical knowledge of AGN SEDs to predict fluxes in other wavebands as well.
How will long-term studies answer an open issue?
General Questions
How has the LAT changed the way you look at your data?
Yes. I see little reason to spend much effort in following sources if Fermi/LAT is unable to detect them within a few days. I also feel that if the decade of multifrequency studies anchored by LAT/Fermi leads to little progress on the matter of relativistic jets and/or accretion, I see little hope for campaigns organized after Fermi that will have no high-energy component. This, of course, assumes that some bright researcher doesn't come up with an idea that can be tested without needing something as powerful as Fermi in orbit.
Stefano C:-- a) with the LAT now we look at multifrequency astrophysics -- b) with the LAT now we look at multimessenger astroparticle physics -- c) with the LAT now we look at time domain astronomy -- d) with the LAT now we look at survey astronomy -- e) with the LAT now we look at source association and identification -- f) with the LAT now we look at a particle-physics like large and international Collaboration, also related to a laboratory like SLAC. -- g) with the LAT now we profit at particle-physics and astrophysics synergy, and union of two prior separated communities -- h) wide science topic menu (from sun to extragalactic and cosmic background), from classical star evolution/pulsar astronomy to dark matter, etc. interesting more than a single science topic and community.
Is there anything else you would like to share?
Stefano C:-- a) Possible idea for a Memorandum of Understanding with e-ROSITA ? This will be a sensitive all-sky high-energy instrument simultaneous to Fermi LAT for joint high-energy X-ray-gamma-ray survey astronomy. -- b) Fermi with additional more 10 years of prolonged mission can be of interest from particle physics side: increase statistics and limits/detection of DM and new-physics signals + multimessenger astroparticle physics with cross correlations among the next neutrino, gravitational wave and ultra-high energy cosmic ray data coming in the next decade. Without Fermi the multi-messenger science cannot develop and grow well. Remarks for the physics community side. -- c) Without Fermi the science possible with CTA cannot develop and grow well. Remarks for the physics community side.
Other Questions
Extra-Note: Why Time Domain topic is continuing to be hot for Fermi (in comparison to Swift).
Stefano C: I do not think Swift can do better in principle in all the fields and all the timescales of time domain astronomy when compared to Fermi. Two, very qualitative (and 2 cents opinion) possible 2 reasons here. 1) Fermi is providing data comparable with other sciences in terms of regular, no gapped, temporal sampling (bright sources only, yes, but these are not so few), so this LAT timeseries HE astrophysics has the same rank and pride of other continuous temporal-monitor/signal-analysis sciences (like climatology, geology, medicine, laboratory experiments, etc.). On the other hand Swift can only monitor limited temporal ranges, following a source in pointing mode for hours/days or performing repeated visits in pointing mode, every some hours/days/weeks. But what happens in the gaps between the recurrent visits of a source of interest ? For example, I do not understand well strong claims (like periodicity from commonly irregularly-variable sources like blazars) that are based only on gapped optical light curves, or based only on selected pieces of timeseries data. 2) Fermi is a real all-sky survey mission (i.e. all-sky time domain monitor) despite the photon count statistics. Also here Swift is behind, I think, because it cannot watch the entire X-ray sky. Also non-short-term timescales works better for the LAT, because of the long mission baseline and continuous monitor, and because of the accumulated photon count statistics in mid-/long-time bins. Well, the march of time and the ageing of the mission for Fermi works in the direction of more time-domain science possible (more statistics, more significance, smaller errors, more timescales...).
Part 3 - Other sparse extra-notes from previous years
Main goals of time-series (variability) analysis:
(1) identifying nature and gain physical understanding of the phenomenon/object producing the observed time series;
(2) forecasting (predicting future behavior and future values of the time series quantity).
What we can learn from short timescales (<1 day) of variability that can be observed by the LAT for very bright flares.
Search for breaks in the PDS (relation with physics, SMBH mass like for X-rays in Seyferts?).
Can the LAT allows systematic multiwavelength variability studies measuring the PDS-SED-plane (i.e. timescale-energy plane)?.
Broad-band MW studies: cross-correlation and time lags. MW SED modeling. Gamma-ray-synchrotron amplitude ratio studies, orphan flares, physics of the gamma-ray emission in AGN, identification of newly discovered gamma-ray sources, spectral index hysteresis, etc.
PHYSICS OF GAMMA-RAY EMITTING AGN (includes mainly blazars and radio galaxies)
-- C.1 WHAT is the structure (ingredients/content) of the jet in blazars and radio galaxies?
-- C.2 HOW are the X-/gamma-ray flares produced in blazars and radio galaxies?
-- C.3 WHERE are the X-rays/gamma-rays produced ?
AGN studies with Fermi LAT: some pre-launch science goals:
(1): Does the "blazar sequence" scheme hold for a large sample of objects?
(2): Are SSC models in trouble for the HBL-type blazars?
(3): Are single-zone synchrotron + Compton models applicable?
(4): Are synchrotron and Compton components produced co-spatially?
(5): What is the content of the innermost part of the relativistic jet?
(6): Total charged particle content / kinetic energy of the blazar jets as compared to the radiative output
(7): are gamma-ray flares related to dissipation of magnetic energy?
(8): Do blazars and radio galaxies accelerate ultra-high energy cosmic rays?
(9): Tests of the Compton-scattered CMBR interpretation of extended X-ray (Chandra) jets
(10): Energization Sites and Bulk Relativistic Speeds of Blazar Jets
(11): Constaints/hints on matter composition of gamma-ray emitting jet region
Variability analysis of LAT and MW data is required in most of these topics.
Problem of faint sources: real variable source or background fluctuations?
High degree (up to 30%) and variability of the optical polarization (OP) is one of the defining properties of blazars (especially the classical BL Lac objects and high-pol. quasars HPQ). This means that OP observations might be an important element in confirmation of new blazar candidates.
Results from the LAT paper on blazars (106 spurces) gamma-ray variability studies (first 11 month data):
LAT gamma-ray blazars are displaying 2 “flavors” of variability:
1) constant baseline with sporadic flaring activity showing also intermittence (flatter PDS, red noise); 2) a few sources showing strong activity with complex and structured time profiles characterized by the long-memory, steeper PDS slopes (random walk processes).
Dave T.:
Fermi Gamma-ray Space Telescope characteristics and experience from 7 years in orbit.
Methods for simultaneous studies: 1.Wide-field telescopes 2.Monitoring programs 3.Dedicated multiwavelength campaigns 4.Good luck
Methods for near-simultaneous/follow-up studies: Rapid sharing of information
The Fermi wide-field instruments are an approximation to “all the sky, all the time,” which would be needed across the electromagnetic spectrum to catch everything of interest. Probably not practical. LOFAR, MAXI, HAWC, Swift-BAT are examples of other wide-field instruments, along with multimessenger facilities like IceCube, Antares, and Advanced LIGO/Virgo. This is a developing field.
Monitoring programs are being carried out for classes of objects known to show variability or transient behavior.For Fermi, blazars and pulsars are classes of interest that are monitored (at least for a subset) at many wavelengths. Example monitoring programs include MOJAVE, OVRO (radio), Tuorla, SMARTS (optical), Swift (X-rays).