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A reasonable model at present is to maintain this level for the next two years as projects such as LSST, LBNE et al start their planning. These are the average needs. We should build in headroom for peak usage - add 20%, to 109k units

Purchase Record of Existing Hardware

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Year

#hosts

#cores

kiso-units

SLAC-units

To Buy

2013

729

7164

7433

90698

18.5k

2014

427

4848

5366

65476

2015

179

2864

3284

40067 25.2k

2016

179

2864

3284

40067

-

2017

179

2864

3284

40067

-

2018

179

2864

3284

40067

-

Basically by the end of 2014, all hardware before the bullet purchase would have been retired.

...

Year

#hosts

#cores

kiso-units

SLAC-units

To Buy

2013

729

7164

7433

90698

18.5k

2014

652

6568

6862

83744

7k

2015

575

5968

6288

76736

7k

2016

499

5376

5718

69789

7k

2017

420

4792

5166

63039

7k

2018

337

3944

4275 4764

52183

2019

203

2688

3024

36908

2020

110

1760

2018

24622

2021

87

1392

1596

19474

2022

67

1072

1229

14997

2023

49

784

899

10968 11k