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The smoothing is a seven-day running average.
Observations:
- As would be expected Brazil, with the largest population by far (~ 3.5 times that of the runner up South Africa) had the largest number of confirmed cases.
- Once one normalizes the confirmed cases by the population then Chile takes the lead followed by Peru and then Brazil both of which are catching up with Peru, then a gap before South Africa, Bolivia and Argentina. Ecuador comes next, having considerably flattened its curve compared to the previous nations, and finally Australia and New Zealand.
- On January 26, 2020, Australia was the first of these countries to confirm a case, almost four weeks before the second country (Chile)
- Australia experienced exponential growth in confirmed cases throughout the month of March before dramatically flattening its curve in April.
- Australia then experienced a further rise in confirmed cases starting the second week of June and extending to the third week of August.
- Looking at the deaths, Brazil again has the most, over four and half time more than the runner up Peru.
- Once one normalizes the deaths by population then Peru is the leader followed by Chile with Brazil close behind, then Bolivia, Ecuador, South Africa and Argentina.
- The Log10 charts indicate that New Zealand has managed to successfully flatten both its confirmed cases and deaths, while Australia after flattening the curves has experienced a rise in both metrics starting in July.
- It appears that the ratio of deaths/confirmed with time has peaked and is going down for Ecuador, Brazil and AustraliaArgentina. It apears to be rising again for Bo/liviaBolivia, Peru and Australia
Northern Hemisphere countries with contrasting strategies 8/31/20
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