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We might expect the network performance to hosts that are in a war zone may be degraded and show up as more variability on the RRTs.A sensitive measure of variability of the RTTs is the Jitter between adjacent measurements. We use a derivation of the Inter Packet Delay Variation (IPDV) to estimate the Jitter from the Ping measurements (see https://www.slac.stanford.edu/comp/net/wan-mon/tutorial.html). In addition we characterize the proximity of the war to a host in Ukraine by its proximity defined  as:

Proximity DescriptionValue
Fallen & occupied by Russian forces4
Surrounded by Russian forces3
Partially surrrounded by Russian forces2
Russian forces nearby1
Russian forces not nearby

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We then plot the IPDV and proximity for each Ukrainian host monitored and look at the correlation between the IPDV and proximity

IPDV and Proximity for the Ukrainian hostsCorrelation between IPDV and Proximity of Russian forces

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There is a small positive correlation between the proximity and IPDV.

Traceroute to Ukraine

Visual traceroute from San Francisco to https://geotraceroute.com/?host=www.ldufk.edu.ua in Lviv Ukraine

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Comparing traceroutes on different days from SLAC to www.ldufk.edu.ua,

see https://www.slac.stanford.edu/cgi-bin/traceroutearchive.cgi?from=www.slac.stanford.edu&to=www.ldufk.edu.ua

Time series for monitored sites

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