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SDSC

[[csv

http://www.slac.stanford.edu/~kalim/event-detection/published-data/SDSC-pathchirp.csv]], [[xls

http://www.slac.stanford.edu/~kalim/event-detection/published-data/SDSC-pathchirp.xls]]

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http://www.slac.stanford.edu/~kalim/event-detection/published-data/UTORONTO-pathchirp-labeled-events.txt]]

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CERN

[[csv

http://www.slac.stanford.edu/~kalim/event-detection/published-data/CERN-pathchirp.csv]], [[xls

http://www.slac.stanford.edu/~kalim/event-detection/published-data/CERN-pathchirp.xls]]

[[txt

http://www.slac.stanford.edu/~kalim/event-detection/published-data/CERN-pathchirp-labeled-events.txt]]

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FZK

[[csv

http://www.slac.stanford.edu/~kalim/event-detection/published-data/FZK-pathchirp.csv]], [[xls

http://www.slac.stanford.edu/~kalim/event-detection/published-data/FZK-pathchirp.xls]]

[[txt

http://www.slac.stanford.edu/~kalim/event-detection/published-data/FZK-pathchirp-labeled-events.txt]]

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DESY

[[csv

http://www.slac.stanford.edu/~kalim/event-detection/published-data/DESY-pathchirp.csv]], [[xls

http://www.slac.stanford.edu/~kalim/event-detection/published-data/DESY-pathchirp.xls]]

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UTORONTO

[[csv

http://www.slac.stanford.edu/~kalim/event-detection/published-data/UTORONTO-pathchirp.csv]], [[xls

http://www.slac.stanford.edu/~kalim/event-detection/published-data/UTORONTO-pathchirp.xls]]

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TRIUMF

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http://www.slac.stanford.edu/~kalim/event-detection/published-data/TRIUMF-pathchirp.csv]], [[xls

http://www.slac.stanford.edu/~kalim/event-detection/published-data/TRIUMF-pathchirp.xls]]

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ORNL

[[csv

http://www.slac.stanford.edu/~kalim/event-detection/published-data/ORNL-pathchirp.csv]], [[xls

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[txt]

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...

b) Adaptive Fault Detection

Adaptive Fault Detection

c) Kalman Filters

The Adaptive Fault Detection method employs four parameters - the desidred detection rate, the desired false positive rate, the history buffer length and the observed window length. We use the values as suggested by the author and for observed window length of 20, a history buffer length of 100 and the desired detection rate of 0.95 and we vary the desired false positive rate to obtain the spectrum of the ratio of true-positive rate to false positive rate. Based on the observations we plot the ROC curves as shown in figure 2. One set of data points is shown in table 3.

Table 3: Results compiled by Adaptive Fault Detection (ADF) method when analyzing the Internet path between SLAC and DESY.

N

HN

B

a

TP

FP

#P

N~days

TPR

FPR

20

100

0.95

0.0300

0

31

31

672

0

0.046

20

100

0.95

0.0200

2

90

31

672

0.065

0.134

20

100

0.95

0.0090

6

619

31

672

0.194

0.921

20

100

0.95

0.0080

9

796

31

672

0.29

1.185

20

100

0.95

0.0070

16

994

31

672

0.516

1.479

20

100

0.95

0.0050

23

1672

31

672

0.742

2.488

20

100

0.95

0.0040

23

2179

31

672

0.742

3.243

20

100

0.95

0.0030

29

2837

31

672

0.935

4.222

20

100

0.95

0.0023

30

3528

31

672

0.968

5.25

20

100

0.95

0.0022

31

3611

31

672

1

5.374

Legend:
HN - History buffer length, a - desired false positive rate, B - desired detection rate, N - observed window length, TP - true positives obtained, FP - false positives obtained, #P - true positives, N~days - days observed, TPR - true positive rate, FPR - false positive rate.

Wiki Markup
The source code of the implementation is available in [C#|http://www.slac.stanford.edu/~kalim/event-detection/published-src/c-afd-impl.html] \[[cs|http://www.slac.stanford.edu/~kalim/event-detection/published-src/afd.cs]\].

c) Kalman Filters

The Kalman Filter method employs two input parameters - the observed window length and the Kalman gain. We use the values as suggested by the author and for the observed window length and vary the kalman gain to obtain the spectrum of the ratio of true-positive rate to false positive rate. Based on the observations we plot the ROC curves as shown in figure 2. One set of data points is shown in table 4.

Table 4: Results compiled by Kalman Filters (KF) method when analyzing the Internet path between SLAC and DESY.

W

K

TP

FP

#P

N~days

TPR

FPR

3

0.800

1

309

31

672

0.032

0.46

6

0.500

2

333

31

672

0.065

0.496

6

0.100

3

366

31

672

0.097

0.545

6

0.005

3

371

31

672

0.097

0.552

6

0.001

3

371

31

672

0.097

0.552

Legend:
W- observed window length, K - kalman gain, TP - true positives obtained, FP - false positives obtained, #P - true positives, N~days - days observed, TPR - true positive rate, FPR - false positive rate.

Wiki Markup
The source code of the implementation is available in [C#|http://www.slac.stanford.edu/~kalim/event-detection/published-src/c-kf-impl.html] \[[cs|http://www.slac.stanford.edu/~kalim/event-detection/published-src/kf.cs]\]. (not up to date, will be revised soon)
Kalman Filters

d) Decision Theoretic Approach

...